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Aguia FC vs America PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 game between Aguia FC and America PE finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America PE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aguia FC
6%
Draws
90%
America PE
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America PE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans America PE's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 10%
America PE Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia FC America PE
Matches Played 21 33
Wins 6 21
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Pernambucano 3
Aguia FC vs America PE
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia FC 10 / 100
America PE 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia FC America PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia FC scored in 62% of their last 21 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

America PE let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Aguia FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguia FC VS America PE
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE761018:419
2Caruaru742112:714
3Aguia FC733112:812
4Belo Jardim733111:712
5Pesqueira71513:48
6Cha Grande71158:144
71º de Maio71156:164
8Sete de Setembro (PE)70255:152