Sport Picks

Brazil

Pernambucano 2

CA Porto

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aguia FC play CA Porto in the Pernambucano 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aguia FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. CA Porto averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Aguia FC won 0, CA Porto won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 8, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Aguia FC and 1.00 for CA Porto. This points to a Aguia FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Aguia FC

35%

Draws

29%

CA Porto

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aguia FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Aguia FC picked up more points recently compared to CA Porto.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 59%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Aguia FC Clean Sheet 23%

CA Porto Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 53%

Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aguia FC	CA Porto
Matches Played	15	32
Wins	5	5
Draws	4	14
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	1.2	0.69
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.09
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Pernambucano 2

CA Porto vs Aguia FC

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Sep 13, 2025 Pernambucano 2

Aguia FC vs CA Porto

Possession: 40% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia FC 37 / 100

CA Porto 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aguia FC CA Porto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aguia FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +22.1%

3.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aguia FC attacking → ← attacking CA Porto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia FC scored in 73% of their last 15 games.

CA Porto let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Aguia FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CA Porto lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 29

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Academica Vitoria	8	3	4	1	9:6	13
2	Caruaru	8	3	4	1	8:7	13
3	CA Porto	8	2	5	1	6:4	11
4	Aguia FC	8	2	1	5	6:9	7
5	Ypiranga	8	1	4	3	3:6	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	America PE	8	7	1	0	25:5	22
2	Centro Limoeirense	8	4	2	2	9:13	14
3	Belo Jardim	8	4	1	3	12:9	13
4	Ipojuca	8	1	2	5	11:18	5
5	Vera Cruz	8	0	2	6	6:18	2