Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguia FC vs Caruaru

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Leandro Costa
45' Event
Edy
85' Event
Allyson Lopes Felix da Silva A.

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 game between Aguia FC and Caruaru finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caruaru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aguia FC
40%
Draws
29%
Caruaru
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Caruaru carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Caruaru have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 19%
Caruaru Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia FC Caruaru
Matches Played 21 36
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Caruaru vs Aguia FC
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Aguia FC vs Caruaru
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Pernambucano 3
Aguia FC vs Caruaru
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguia FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Allyson Lopes Felix da Silva A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Caruaru Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandro Costa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edy
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia FC 32 / 100
Caruaru 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia FC Caruaru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aguia FC scored in 62% of their last 21 outings.

Caruaru let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aguia FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguia FC VS Caruaru
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguia FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Aguia FC
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
20 Sept
Aguia FC
1 : 2
Caruaru
Page 1 of 5

Caruaru

(Away)
26 Oct
America PE
2 : 1
Caruaru
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
Academica Vitoria
1 : 1
Caruaru
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Vitoria83419:613
2Caruaru83418:713
3CA Porto82516:411
4Aguia FC82156:97
5Ypiranga81433:67
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE871025:522
2Centro Limoeirense84229:1314
3Belo Jardim841312:913
4Ipojuca812511:185
5Vera Cruz80266:182
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 (Play Offs)