Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Aguia Negra play Comercial MS in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aguia Negra averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Comercial MS averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Aguia Negra won 3, Comercial MS won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 20, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Aguia Negra and 1.25 for Comercial MS. This points to a Aguia Negra double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aguia Negra picked up more points recently compared to Comercial MS.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.25 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguia Negra | Comercial MS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguia Negra scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Comercial MS let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Aguia Negra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Comercial MS lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naviraiense | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Aguia Negra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 3 | 7 de Setembro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 4 | Comercial MS | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 5 | Operario AC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 6 | Misto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |