Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Aguia Negra play Naviraiense in the Sul-Matogrossense. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aguia Negra averaged 1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Naviraiense averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Aguia Negra won 1, Naviraiense won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Aguia Negra and 1.50 for Naviraiense. This points to a Naviraiense double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Naviraiense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aguia Negra.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Sul-Matogrossense provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguia Negra | Naviraiense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguia Negra scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Naviraiense let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Aguia Negra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Naviraiense lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naviraiense | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Operario MS | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 3 | Corumbaense | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Bataguassu | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Dourados | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 10 |
| 7 | Clube de Regatas Aquidauana | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Pantanal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 9 | Costa Rica | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 10 | Aguia Negra | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 7 |