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Aguia Vimioso vs Maria de Fonte

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Aguia Vimioso play Maria de Fonte in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021. Maria de Fonte are favorites here. Recently, Aguia Vimioso averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Maria de Fonte averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Aguia Vimioso won 0, Maria de Fonte won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2021 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Aguia Vimioso and 1.43 for Maria de Fonte. This points to a Maria de Fonte double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Aguia Vimioso
28%
Draws
50%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Maria de Fonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Maria de Fonte has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aguia Vimioso.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Maria de Fonte.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Aguia Vimioso Clean Sheet 17%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia Vimioso Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 2 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Aguia Vimioso
3:1
Dec 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Aguia Vimioso vs Maria de Fonte
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia Vimioso 23 / 100
Maria de Fonte 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia Vimioso Maria de Fonte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia Vimioso scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Maria de Fonte let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Aguia Vimioso went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Maria de Fonte lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maria de Fonte
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Braga B22174161:1255
2Merelinense22153434:1348
3CDC Montalegre22108436:2438
4SC Mirandela2298524:1635
5Maria de Fonte2295830:2932
6SC Vianense2295826:2832
7Vilaverdense FC2277828:3028
8Pedras Salgadas2268819:2326
9Vidago22651127:3623
10GD Braganca22481016:2520
11Cerveira22361311:2715
12Aguia Vimioso22151612:618
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Camacha00000:00
2Mondinense00000:00
3Tirsense00000:00
4AD Fafe00000:00
5FC Felgueiras00000:00
6Brito00000:00
7Vitoria Guimaraes B00000:00
8Sao Martinho00000:00
9Rio Ave B00000:00
10Berco00000:00
11Pevidem00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gondomar00000:00
2Trofense00000:00
3U. Madeira00000:00
4Leca00000:00
5Coimbroes00000:00
6Paredes00000:00
7Amarante FC00000:00
8Camara de Lobos00000:00
9SC Salgueiros00000:00
10SC Vila Real00000:00
11Maritimo B00000:00
12Pedras Rubras00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Setubal00000:00
2Olhanense00000:00
3Juv. Evora00000:00
4Louletano00000:00
5Aljustrelense00000:00
6Pinhalnovense00000:00
7Esperanca de Lagos00000:00
8Moura AC00000:00
9Lusitano GC00000:00
10Amora00000:00
11Moncarapachense00000:00
12Armacenenses00000:00