Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018

Aguias do Moradal

2 - 2

Mortagua FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 game between Aguias do Moradal and Mortagua FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Aguias do Moradal

17%

Draws

70%

Mortagua FC

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mortagua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mortagua FC come out ahead of Aguias do Moradal on wins alone.
70% — that's where the model lands on Mortagua FC taking it.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Aguias do Moradal Clean Sheet 20%

Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aguias do Moradal	Mortagua FC
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	6	16
Draws	3	9
Losses	21	11
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Aguias do Moradal vs Mortagua FC

2:2

Dec 3, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Mortagua FC vs Aguias do Moradal

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguias do Moradal 16 / 100

Mortagua FC 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aguias do Moradal Mortagua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mortagua FC let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Mortagua FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Aguias do Moradal's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mortagua FC

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguias do Moradal

(Home)

21 Sept

Uniao Nogueirense

1 : 0

Aguias do Moradal

11 Sept

SB Castelo Branco

8 : 0

Aguias do Moradal

17 Oct

Aguias do Moradal

0 : 3

Pacos Ferreira

25 Sept

Aguias do Moradal

2 : 1

Damaiense

11 Sept

Estarreja

1 : 2

Aguias do Moradal

Page 1 of 6

Mortagua FC

(Away)

18 Apr

Mortagua FC

2 : 1

Electrico FC

12 Apr

Vitoria Sernache

1 : 0

Mortagua FC

04 Apr

Mortagua FC

0 : 2

Os Marialvas

29 Mar

Mortagua FC

1 : 0

Marinhense

22 Mar

Naval 1893

2 : 0

Mortagua FC

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League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leiria	30	23	4	3	68:21	73
2	Lusitano FCV	30	20	5	5	47:19	65
3	SB Castelo Branco	30	17	8	5	48:23	59
4	Sertanense	30	15	8	7	51:22	53
5	Agueda	30	14	7	9	39:32	49
6	Gafanha	30	13	9	8	36:23	48
7	Anadia	30	12	10	8	39:28	46
8	Maritimo B	30	14	3	13	44:30	45
9	Nogueirense	30	11	9	10	37:38	42
10	Oleiros	30	12	6	12	35:36	42
11	Marinhense	30	11	8	11	43:41	41
12	Mortagua FC	30	11	3	16	23:40	36
13	Ferreira de Aves	30	9	2	19	34:69	29
14	Aguias do Moradal	30	5	6	19	29:54	21
15	GD Sourense	30	3	8	19	28:57	17
16	Fornos de Algodres	30	0	4	26	15:83	4

Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)