Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguias do Moradal vs Pacos Ferreira

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Lima N.
31' Event
Uilton Silva
35'
Djalo M.

AI Match Summary

The Taça de Portugal 2021/2022 game between Aguias do Moradal and Pacos Ferreira finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pacos Ferreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aguias do Moradal
6%
Draws
90%
Pacos Ferreira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pacos Ferreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pacos Ferreira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pacos Ferreira taking it.
  • Regular Taça de Portugal 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Aguias do Moradal Clean Sheet 25%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguias do Moradal Pacos Ferreira
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Aguias do Moradal vs Pacos Ferreira
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguias do Moradal Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Pacos Ferreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Uilton Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flavio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguias do Moradal 10 / 100
Pacos Ferreira 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguias do Moradal Pacos Ferreira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pacos Ferreira let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Aguias do Moradal found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (31 games).

Aguias do Moradal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pacos Ferreira
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
SC Pombal-
TBD-
Leca1
Lusitania FC0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arouca-
Condeixa-
TBD-
TBD-
Esperanca de Lagos-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gil Vicente-
Estrela Vendas Novas-
TBD-
Pedroso0
Paredes2
Ferreira de Aves-
TBD-
TBD-
Academico Viseu-
GD Fontinhas-
TBD-
TBD-
Torreense-
O Elvas CAD0
Sacavenense2
SC Mirandela0
AD Fafe1
SC Praiense0
Sporting Ideal1
TBD-
Valadares Gaia FC-
Canelas 201012
Regua0
TBD-
Casa Pia-
Rebordelo-
TBD-
Moimenta da Beira2
Cinfaes3
Sao Roque-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Farense-
CF Os Belenenses-
TBD-
TBD-
Pero Pinheiro-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Oleiros-
TBD-
TBD-
Varzim-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maritimo-
SC Vianense2
Ancora Praia1
TBD-
Vitoria Setubal-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vizela-
Culatrense1
Louletano2
Gondomar2
SC Salgueiros3
Ferreiras1
Penedo Gordo0
TBD-
Estrela da Amadora-
Moitense-
TBD-
Anca1
Sanjoanense0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
Moncarapachense1
Industria2
TBD-
Leiria-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Santa Clara-
Gloria Ribatejo0
Sintrense4
Macedo de Cavaleiros1
Forjaes0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Porto-
Vila Mea4
Amarante FC3
TBD-
Feirense-
Vinhais-
TBD-
TBD-
Nacional-
Pevidem-
TBD-
TBD-
Trofense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Benfica-
Estarreja1
Aguias do Moradal2
Damaiense3
SC Lusitania1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Vila Velha0
Vitoria Sernache3
TBD-
Rio Ave-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boavista-
CD Rabo Peixe-
TBD-
Castro Daire1
Trancoso0
Olhanense1
Juv. Evora0
Santa Cruz Alvarenga3
CD Gouveia1
Uniao Lamas1
SC Espinho2
Valenciano2
Merelinense4
Abrantes Benfica2
Caldas SC4
Pinhalnovense0
Amora2
AD Limianos3
CDC Montalegre2
Berco2
GD Joane1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BSAD-
Santa Marta Penaguiao0
Camacha3
TBD-
Ribeirao-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tondela-
Sao Joao de Ver-
TBD-
TBD-
Leixoes-
Uniao Montemor-
TBD-
TBD-
Vilaverdense FC-
Serpa-
TBD-
TBD-
Olivais e Moscavide-
Marinhense1
UC Idanhense2
TBD-
Covilha-
FC Felgueiras3
Camara de Lobos0
TBD-
Chaves-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Estoril-
Alverca6
Electrico FC0
SC Vila Real2
Tirsense1
Anadia-
TBD-
TBD-
GD Coruchense-
FC Alpendorada-
TBD-
TBD-
Academica-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Famalicao-
Machico0
Sao Martinho5
SB Castelo Branco1
Mata Mourisquense0
Cerva1
Maria de Fonte3
TBD-
Penafiel-
Oliveirense6
Guarda Desportiva0
Arronches Benfica4
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portimonense-
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira1
Imortal2
TBD-
Vilafranquense-
Real SC1
FC Barreirense0
TBD-
Cova De Piedade-
Sertanense2
GD Peniche0
TBD-
Mafra-
Vigor Mocidade0
Uniao de Coimbra1
TBD-
Graciosa FC-
Santarem0
GS Loures1
Lusitano GC1
Oriental Dragon2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moreirense-
Oliveira Hospital-
TBD-
TBD-
U. Madeira-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
1/64-finals
SC Pombal0
Leca4
TBD-
Arouca-
Condeixa4
Esperanca de Lagos3
TBD-
Gil Vicente-
Estrela Vendas Novas0
Paredes2
Ferreira de Aves0
Academico Viseu1
GD Fontinhas0
Torreense1
Sacavenense0
AD Fafe4
Sporting Ideal0
Valadares Gaia FC3
Canelas 20102
Casa Pia4
Rebordelo1
Cinfaes2
Sao Roque0
SC Farense3
CF Os Belenenses5
Pero Pinheiro3
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Oleiros0
Varzim2
TBD-
Maritimo-
SC Vianense0
Vitoria Setubal2
TBD-
Vizela-
Louletano3
SC Salgueiros1
Ferreiras0
Estrela da Amadora3
Moitense2
Anca1
TBD-
Braga-
Industria1
Leiria2
TBD-
Santa Clara-
Sintrense2
Macedo de Cavaleiros1
TBD-
FC Porto-
Vila Mea1
Feirense5
Vinhais0
Nacional3
Pevidem1
Trofense3
TBD-
Benfica-
Aguias do Moradal2
Damaiense1
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Vitoria Sernache1
Rio Ave3
TBD-
Boavista-
CD Rabo Peixe2
Castro Daire3
Olhanense1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga0
SC Espinho1
Merelinense0
Caldas SC1
Amora0
AD Limianos0
Berco1
TBD-
BSAD-
Camacha6
Ribeirao1
TBD-
Tondela-
Sao Joao de Ver1
Leixoes3
Uniao Montemor0
Vilaverdense FC2
Serpa4
Olivais e Moscavide0
UC Idanhense0
Covilha2
FC Felgueiras2
Chaves0
TBD-
Estoril-
Alverca3
SC Vila Real1
Anadia3
GD Coruchense1
FC Alpendorada1
Academica2
TBD-
Famalicao-
Sao Martinho0
SB Castelo Branco1
Maria de Fonte0
Penafiel1
Oliveirense3
Arronches Benfica0
TBD-
Portimonense-
Imortal0
Vilafranquense2
Real SC2
Cova De Piedade1
Sertanense0
Mafra1
Uniao de Coimbra2
Graciosa FC1
GS Loures2
Oriental Dragon3
TBD-
Moreirense-
Oliveira Hospital5
U. Madeira0
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
1/32-finals
Leca2
Arouca1
Condeixa0
Gil Vicente5
Paredes3
Academico Viseu1
Torreense2
AD Fafe1
Valadares Gaia FC1
Casa Pia3
Cinfaes0
SC Farense4
CF Os Belenenses0
Sporting CP4
Varzim3
Maritimo2
Vitoria Setubal0
Vizela2
Louletano1
Estrela da Amadora2
Moitense0
Braga5
Leiria0
Santa Clara2
Sintrense0
FC Porto5
Feirense3
Nacional1
Trofense1
Benfica2
Aguias do Moradal0
Pacos Ferreira3
Rio Ave4
Boavista0
Castro Daire2
Olhanense3
SC Espinho0
Caldas SC1
Berco1
BSAD2
Camacha1
Tondela2
Leixoes5
Vilaverdense FC1
Serpa1
Covilha0
FC Felgueiras0
Estoril1
Alverca4
Anadia1
Academica0
Famalicao4
SB Castelo Branco1
Penafiel2
Oliveirense3
Portimonense4
Vilafranquense3
Real SC2
Mafra3
Uniao de Coimbra0
Oriental Dragon2
Moreirense3
Oliveira Hospital0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
1/16-finals
Leca1
Gil Vicente0
Paredes1
Torreense0
Casa Pia3
SC Farense1
Sporting CP2
Varzim1
Vizela2
Estrela da Amadora0
Braga6
Santa Clara0
FC Porto5
Feirense1
Benfica4
Pacos Ferreira1
Rio Ave2
Olhanense1
Caldas SC3
BSAD5
Tondela3
Leixoes1
Serpa0
Estoril5
Alverca1
Famalicao2
Penafiel0
Portimonense3
Vilafranquense0
Mafra1
Moreirense3
Vitoria Guimaraes2
1/8-finals
Leca2
Paredes1
Casa Pia1
Sporting CP2
Vizela1
Braga0
FC Porto3
Benfica0
Rio Ave2
BSAD1
Tondela3
Estoril1
Famalicao1
Portimonense2
Mafra3
Moreirense1
Quarter-finals
Leca0
Sporting CP4
Vizela1
FC Porto3
Rio Ave0
Tondela1
Portimonense2
Mafra4
Semi-finals
Sporting CP1
FC Porto3
Tondela4
Mafra1
Final
FC Porto3
Tondela1