Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Alianza FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Portillo J.
43' Event
Andrada F.
(Penalty)
75'
Mier M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aguila
30%
Draws
23%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguila lately — more wins on the board than Alianza FC.
  • Model gives Aguila a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aguila Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Alianza FC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.46 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
2:2
May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:2
May 6, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
2:1
Apr 16, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Portillo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Menjivar L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 67 / 100
Alianza FC 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aguila scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Alianza FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Aguila remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Alianza FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 6

Alianza FC

(Away)
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1
Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
2 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
3 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)