Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Alianza FC

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Turcios J.
7' Event
Gustavo Souza
45' Event
Segovia M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Aguila in this Primera Division 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aguila
30%
Draws
34%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alianza FC lately — more wins on the board than Aguila.
  • Aguila are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Alianza FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianza FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Aguila have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Aguila Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Alianza FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:2
May 6, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
2:1
Apr 16, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Turcios J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Souza
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 36 / 100
Alianza FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aguila scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Alianza FC let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aguila remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Alianza FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
31 Jul
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Aguila
26 Jul
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
24 May
Aguila
0 : 3
FAS
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
Page 1 of 6

Alianza FC

(Away)
30 Jul
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Antigua
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
FAS3
Cacahuatique2
Inter Santa Tecla2
Municipal Limeno3
Luis Angel Firpo3
Metapan2
Alianza FC1
Aguila4
Semi-finals
FAS2
Municipal Limeno1
Luis Angel Firpo2
Aguila3
Final
FAS3
Aguila0