Sport Picks
Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Ricardo Gregor, Asunción 
Match Events
6'
6'
Baez W.
Assist: Gonzalez A.
18'
18'
Benitez H. A.
Assist: Gutierrez T.
57'
57'
Benitez H. A.
Assist: Gaona Lugo O.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacional Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Recoleta haven't matched Nacional Asuncion's recent run of results.
- Nacional Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Nacional Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recoleta | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
3:2
Apr 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Recoleta
2:1
Mar 5, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Nacional Asuncion vs Recoleta
1:2
Feb 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
2:2
Nov 27, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Baez W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lopez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Benitez H. A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Recoleta 10 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Recoleta Nacional Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nacional Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Recoleta scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Nacional Asuncion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: Nacional Asuncion registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recoleta VS Nacional Asuncion
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Recoleta
(Home) 20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
18 Aug
Recoleta
0 : 4 Boca Juniors
14 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 3
Nacional Asuncion
(Away) 18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
18 Aug
Benjamin Aceval
0 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
15 Aug
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 23 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 4 | 2 de Mayo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 21 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Guarani | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:24 | 7 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:21 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
