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LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de Julio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Da Costa F.
60' Event
Da Costa F.
66' Event
Alcivar A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
LDU Portoviejo
30%
Draws
8%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: LDU Portoviejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • LDU Portoviejo have won more games recently than 22 de Julio.
  • LDU Portoviejo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 20%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo 22 de Julio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.14 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de Julio
2:2
Aug 21, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de Julio
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs LDU Portoviejo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

22 de Julio Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcivar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tenorio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 85 / 100
22 de Julio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo 22 de Julio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Portoviejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 22 de Julio conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: LDU Portoviejo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

LDU Portoviejo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS 22 de Julio
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2
EL Nacional
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
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22 de Julio

(Away)
07 Oct
22 de Julio
2 : 5
EL Nacional
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
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