Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Atletico Balboa

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2010/2011
Thu, Apr 21, 2011
3 - 0
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguila host Atletico Balboa in the Primera Division 2010/2011. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Atletico Balboa have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while Aguila have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Aguila have won 3 to Atletico Balboa's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2011, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 0.78) point toward Aguila. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aguila
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico Balboa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguila lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Balboa.
  • Win probability leans Aguila's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Aguila Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Balboa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Atletico Balboa
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2011 Primera Division
Aguila vs Atletico Balboa
3:0
Mar 6, 2011 Primera Division
Atletico Balboa vs Aguila
0:4
Nov 21, 2010 Primera Division
Aguila vs Atletico Balboa
2:0
Sep 19, 2010 Primera Division
Atletico Balboa vs Aguila
1:0
Apr 8, 2010 Primera Division
Aguila vs Atletico Balboa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 85 / 100
Atletico Balboa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Atletico Balboa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguila's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Atletico Balboa let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aguila remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Atletico Balboa
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
26 Jul
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
24 May
Aguila
0 : 3
FAS
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Balboa

(Away)
28 Jul
Cacahuatique
4 : 2
Atletico Balboa
25 Jul
Atletico Balboa
0 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
21 Apr
Aguila
3 : 0
Atletico Balboa
17 Apr
Atletico Balboa
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Apr
Atletico Balboa
1 : 2
UES
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza FC1885532:2129
2FAS1878329:2429
3Metapan1892726:2429
4Luis Angel Firpo1884625:1528
5Aguila1876528:2127
6Atletico Marte1883725:2427
7Vista Hermosa1868419:1526
8UES1838714:2517
911 Deportivo1829717:2715
10Atletico Balboa18351011:3014
Promotion - Primera Division 2010/2011 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2010/2011 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2010/2011 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2010/2011 (Clausura - Play Offs)