Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Andrada F.
(Penalty)
13' Event
Benitez J.

AI Match Summary

Aguila host Fuerte San Francisco in the Primera Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Aguila have averaged 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Fuerte San Francisco's 0.75 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Aguila have won 2 to Fuerte San Francisco's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.75, favoring Aguila. Aguila in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aguila
33%
Draws
27%
Fuerte San Francisco
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguila has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Fuerte San Francisco.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Aguila.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Division provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Fuerte San Francisco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:1
Feb 26, 2026 Copa Presidente
Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
2:3
Oct 29, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
3:3
Aug 10, 2025 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fuerte San Francisco Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 50 / 100
Fuerte San Francisco 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Fuerte San Francisco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguila scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Fuerte San Francisco let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Aguila went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fuerte San Francisco lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Fuerte San Francisco
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FAS22165149:1653
2Luis Angel Firpo22135434:2044
3Alianza FC22114736:3037
4Inter F.A.22106627:2536
5Municipal Limeno22105733:2135
6Aguila22105727:2435
7Metapan2269723:3027
8Cacahuatique2268824:2826
9Platense Municipal22481024:3120
10Hercules22471127:4319
11Fuerte San Francisco22281218:3514
12Zacatecoluca FC22341523:4213