Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bonilla E.
70' Event
Pineda W.

AI Match Summary

Aguila host Luis Angel Firpo in the Primera Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Luis Angel Firpo have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Aguila have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Aguila slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.13) back Luis Angel Firpo to edge this. Luis Angel Firpo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aguila
39%
Draws
31%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguila demonstrates higher offensive output (1.75 avg goals) than Luis Angel Firpo (1.5 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Division provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 19 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
0:2
May 13, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:2
May 1, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Pineda W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 41 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Luis Angel Firpo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguila scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Luis Angel Firpo let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Aguila went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Luis Angel Firpo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Luis Angel Firpo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FAS22165149:1653
2Luis Angel Firpo22135434:2044
3Alianza FC22114736:3037
4Inter F.A.22106627:2536
5Municipal Limeno22105733:2135
6Aguila22105727:2435
7Metapan2269723:3027
8Cacahuatique2268824:2826
9Platense Municipal22481024:3120
10Hercules22471127:4319
11Fuerte San Francisco22281218:3514
12Zacatecoluca FC22341523:4213