Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguilas Doradas U20 vs Rosario Central U20

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 2024 Estadio Profesor Alberto Suppici
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguilas Doradas U20 play Rosario Central U20 in the Copa Libertadores U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aguilas Doradas U20 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Rosario Central U20 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Aguilas Doradas U20 won 1, Rosario Central U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 6, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Aguilas Doradas U20 and 1.86 for Rosario Central U20. This points to a Rosario Central U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aguilas Doradas U20
15%
Draws
49%
Rosario Central U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosario Central U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Aguilas Doradas U20 picked up more points recently compared to Rosario Central U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Aguilas Doradas U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Rosario Central U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas Doradas U20 Rosario Central U20
Matches Played 3 5
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1.67 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2024 Copa Libertadores U20
Aguilas Doradas U20 vs Rosario Central U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas Doradas U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mena J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benitez Hernandez R. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Rosario Central U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas Doradas U20 34 / 100
Rosario Central U20 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas Doradas U20 Rosario Central U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rosario Central U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aguilas Doradas U20 attacking → ← attacking Rosario Central U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas Doradas U20 scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Rosario Central U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aguilas Doradas U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rosario Central U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 9
1.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.40
2.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.20

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Boca Juniors U2032106:07
2Academia Puerto Cabello U2032017:46
3Colo Colo U2031114:24
4Always Ready U2030031:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rosario Central U2032014:36
2Olimpia Asuncion U2031112:14
3Montevideo City U2031115:54
4Aguilas Doradas U2031025:73
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo RJ U2033007:29
2Aucas U2032018:56
3Defensor Sp. U2031024:53
4Sporting Cristal U2030032:90