Sport Picks
Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro 
Match Events
64'
64'
Sub
Garcia J. In: Avalo Trejos J. E.
Out: Garcia J.
64'
64'
Sub
Perez Balcazar J. E. In: Munoz J.
Out: Perez Balcazar J. E.
65'
65'
Ricaurte A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Aguilas Doradas and Alianza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas Doradas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- Alianza haven't matched Aguilas Doradas's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguilas Doradas | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 27, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza
1:0
Jun 4, 2025 Copa Colombia
Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas
4:0
Apr 26, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas
0:0
Nov 6, 2024 Primera A
Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aguilas Doradas 41 / 100
Alianza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aguilas Doradas Alianza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aguilas Doradas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguilas Doradas scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Alianza has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Aguilas Doradas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aguilas Doradas VS Alianza
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Aguilas Doradas
(Home) 03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0 Jaguares de Cordoba
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0 Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Dep. Pereira
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Chico
22 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
1 : 1 Millonarios
19 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
1 : 1 Llaneros
Page 1 of 3
Alianza
(Away) 03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1 Alianza
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2 Alianza
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4 Santa Fe
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2 Alianza
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0 Junior
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1 Alianza
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2 Alianza
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2 Alianza
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Alianza
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0 Alianza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)
