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Independiente vs GV San Jose

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. GV San Jose have shipped 2.04 goals a game lately, while Independiente have conceded 1.74 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Independiente have won 2 to GV San Jose's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.56) point toward Independiente. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Independiente
15%
Draws
0%
GV San Jose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independiente lately — more wins on the board than GV San Jose.
  • Win probability leans Independiente's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Independiente have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor GV San Jose, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Independiente Clean Sheet 15%
GV San Jose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente GV San Jose
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.45 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Pacena
GV San Jose vs Independiente
1:3
Aug 17, 2026 Division Profesional
Independiente vs GV San Jose
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Division Profesional
GV San Jose vs Independiente
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Division Profesional
Independiente vs GV San Jose
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Division Profesional
Independiente vs GV San Jose
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 84 / 100
GV San Jose 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente GV San Jose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: GV San Jose conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

GV San Jose's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Independiente scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS GV San Jose
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1
Independiente
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3
Independiente
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
18 Sept
Independiente
1 : 3
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
13 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Independiente
Page 1 of 7

GV San Jose

(Away)
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2
GV San Jose
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3
Independiente
20 Sept
Real Oruro
1 : 0
GV San Jose
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2
GV San Jose
12 Sept
GV San Jose
0 : 3
Nacional Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 7 4 3 0 11:6 15
2 Real Potosi 7 3 2 2 10:10 11
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 7 3 1 3 13:8 10
4 Academia del Balompie 7 2 0 5 9:11 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 7 4 2 1 21:5 14
2 Tomayapo 7 3 1 3 10:16 10
3 Always Ready 7 3 1 3 12:19 10
4 Real Oruro 7 1 1 5 7:16 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 7 4 2 1 15:11 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Club Universitario de Vinto 7 2 1 4 13:15 7
4 Guabira 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
2 Independiente 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
3 GV San Jose 6 1 0 5 8:14 3
4 Blooming 6 1 0 5 8:16 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)