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Aguilas Doradas vs Dep. Pereira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Bermudez Correa J. A.
22' Event
Suarez Chalare F. A.
Assist: Ricaurte A.
39'
Urrea S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Aguilas Doradas and Dep. Pereira finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Aguilas Doradas
35%
Draws
24%
Dep. Pereira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aguilas Doradas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Pereira haven't matched Aguilas Doradas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aguilas Doradas a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 18%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas Doradas Dep. Pereira
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 4
Draws 12 12
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.21 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Dep. Pereira
2:2
May 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Aguilas Doradas vs Dep. Pereira
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Aguilas Doradas
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Aguilas Doradas
1:5
May 5, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Dep. Pereira
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas Doradas Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez Chalare F. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dep. Pereira Compare

Top Goalscorer Largacha J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas Doradas 58 / 100
Dep. Pereira 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas Doradas Dep. Pereira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguilas Doradas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Aguilas Doradas scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Dep. Pereira conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Aguilas Doradas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas Doradas VS Dep. Pereira
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas Doradas

(Home)
09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pereira

(Away)
10 Oct
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Dep. Cali
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 12 2 4 6 18:22 10
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 12 1 6 5 7:17 9
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)