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Aguilas FC B vs Ciudad Cieza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
El Ouakili Mezzi H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Aguilas FC B and Ciudad Cieza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas FC B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aguilas FC B
39%
Draws
30%
Ciudad Cieza
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad Cieza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 26%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B Ciudad Cieza
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 12 21
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Ciudad Cieza
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Aguilas FC B
3:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Ciudad Cieza
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Aguilas FC B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer El Ouakili Mezzi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ciudad Cieza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 33 / 100
Ciudad Cieza 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B Ciudad Cieza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aguilas FC B remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aguilas FC B found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ciudad Cieza has conceded goals in 54% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS Ciudad Cieza
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC B

(Home)
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
03 May
Mazarron CF
2 : 3
Aguilas FC B
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
Deportivo Maritimo
1 : 2
Aguilas FC B
11 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
Molinense
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Ciudad Cieza

(Away)
10 May
Muleno CF
1 : 6
Ciudad Cieza
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Bala Azul
26 Apr
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
18 Apr
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
10 Apr
Real Murcia B
0 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 (Play Offs)