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Aguilas FC B vs E.G. El Palmar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dieguito
28' Event
Santos M.
56' Event
Sanchez Roca A.

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguilas FC B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aguilas FC B
6%
Draws
4%
E.G. El Palmar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aguilas FC B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguilas FC B have won more games recently than E.G. El Palmar.
  • Aguilas FC B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 20%
E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B E.G. El Palmar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs E.G. El Palmar
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Aguilas FC B
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Aguilas FC B
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs E.G. El Palmar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez Roca A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieguito
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 85 / 100
E.G. El Palmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B E.G. El Palmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC B has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aguilas FC B found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

E.G. El Palmar has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS E.G. El Palmar
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC B

(Home)
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
03 May
Mazarron CF
2 : 3
Aguilas FC B
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
Deportivo Maritimo
1 : 2
Aguilas FC B
11 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
Molinense
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E.G. El Palmar

(Away)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
12 Apr
Mazarron CF
4 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 (Play Offs)