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Aguilas FC B vs Minerva

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Espinosa A.
32' Event
Renato
34' Event
Cortes F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC B host Minerva in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Minerva have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Aguilas FC B have conceded 0.63 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Aguilas FC B have won 1 to Minerva's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 2:4. xG projections (1.44 - 0.76) back Aguilas FC B to edge this. Aguilas FC B in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aguilas FC B
6%
Draws
4%
Minerva
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aguilas FC B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguilas FC B has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Minerva.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Aguilas FC B.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 13 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 68%
Minerva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B Minerva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Minerva
2:4
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Aguilas FC B
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Aguilas FC B
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Minerva
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Minerva Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinosa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renato
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 95 / 100
Minerva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B Minerva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC B scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Minerva let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Aguilas FC B went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Minerva lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS Minerva
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427