Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguilas FC B vs UCAM Murcia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Cobo M.
32' Event
Campillo M.
34' Event
Sanchez A.

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC B host UCAM Murcia B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This one's hard to separate. Aguilas FC B have averaged 1.63 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against UCAM Murcia B's 2.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Aguilas FC B have won 1 to UCAM Murcia B's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.63) back UCAM Murcia B to edge this. UCAM Murcia B in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aguilas FC B
30%
Draws
34%
UCAM Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguilas FC B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia B demonstrates higher offensive output (2.75 avg goals) than Aguilas FC B (1.63 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Aguilas FC B.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 13 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 14%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B UCAM Murcia B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 14
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs UCAM Murcia B
2:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Aguilas FC B
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs UCAM Murcia B
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Aguilas FC B
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Campillo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 35 / 100
UCAM Murcia B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B UCAM Murcia B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC B scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

UCAM Murcia B let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Aguilas FC B went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

UCAM Murcia B lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS UCAM Murcia B
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427