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Aguilas FC vs UD Ibiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio El Rubial, Águilas
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC host UD Ibiza in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Aguilas FC have averaged 1.24 scored and 0.91 conceded recently, against UD Ibiza's 1.52 scored and 1 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.31) point toward Aguilas FC. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aguilas FC
20%
Draws
51%
UD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguilas FC have won more games recently than UD Ibiza.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 18%
UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC UD Ibiza
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.91 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 36 / 100
UD Ibiza 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC UD Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Ibiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

UD Ibiza has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Aguilas FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: UD Ibiza has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS UD Ibiza
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Sant Andreu
2 : 0
Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 7

UD Ibiza

(Away)
09 Oct
UD Ibiza
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
04 Oct
Villarreal B
0 : 1
UD Ibiza
25 Sept
UD Ibiza
0 : 2
Zaragoza
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 0
Sant Andreu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
9 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
10 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)