Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguilas FC vs Velez

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Solano R.

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguilas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Aguilas FC
20%
Draws
0%
Velez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aguilas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguilas FC lately — more wins on the board than Velez.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Aguilas FC taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 20%
Velez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC Velez
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 18 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Aguilas FC vs Velez
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Velez vs Aguilas FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Solano R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Velez Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 85 / 100
Velez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC Velez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguilas FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Velez registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Aguilas FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (36 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Sant Andreu
2 : 0
Aguilas FC
30 Aug
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Alcorcon
Page 1 of 8

Velez

(Away)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sevilla B 34 18 12 4 52:20 66
2 Yeclano 34 17 9 8 43:29 60
3 Marbella 34 16 8 10 41:32 56
4 Orihuela 34 15 9 10 39:37 54
5 Betis B 34 13 14 7 44:28 53
6 CD Estepona 34 13 10 11 34:27 49
7 Aguilas FC 34 11 15 8 27:20 48
8 UCAM Murcia 34 13 8 13 42:35 47
9 Linense 34 12 11 11 35:33 47
10 Antoniano 34 12 10 12 32:40 46
11 La Union (Malacitano) 34 14 4 16 36:36 43
12 Cadiz B 34 10 12 12 41:43 42
13 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 9 14 11 29:36 41
14 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 9 13 12 20:28 40
15 El Palo 34 8 12 14 26:36 36
16 San Roque de Lepe 34 9 9 16 34:39 36
17 Velez 34 7 11 16 31:61 29
18 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 4 11 19 25:51 23
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)