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Ahlafors vs Stenungsunds IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
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Match Events

4' Event
55' Event
63' Event

AI Match Summary

Stenungsunds IF in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stenungsunds IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ahlafors
15%
Draws
37%
Stenungsunds IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ahlafors lately — more wins on the board than Stenungsunds IF.
  • Model gives Ahlafors a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 14%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Stenungsunds IF
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.14 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Stenungsunds IF
1:3
Jun 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Ahlafors
0:4
Aug 16, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Stenungsunds IF
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Ahlafors
0:0
Oct 1, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Stenungsunds IF
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 57 / 100
Stenungsunds IF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Stenungsunds IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ahlafors scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Stenungsunds IF conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ahlafors remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS Stenungsunds IF
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

Stenungsunds IF

(Away)
03 Oct
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 3
IFK Skovde
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 25 17 5 3 52:26 56
3 IFK Skovde 25 14 5 6 42:26 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)