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Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs IF Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Strandahl N.
34'
Wiklund C.
35' Event
Zetterlund J.

AI Match Summary

Ahlafors in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ahlafors
15%
Draws
0%
Vanersborgs IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ahlafors have won more games recently than Vanersborgs IF.
  • Win probability leans Ahlafors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ahlafors here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 20%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Vanersborgs IF
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 3
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Ahlafors
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs IF
3:0
Aug 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Ahlafors
2:3
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs IF
2:2
Oct 12, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs IF
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Strandahl N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zetterlund J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 85 / 100
Vanersborgs IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Vanersborgs IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlafors's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vanersborgs IF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: Vanersborgs IF has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS Vanersborgs IF
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
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Vanersborgs IF

(Away)
03 Oct
Husqvarna
4 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2
Vanersborgs IF
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 24 8 4 12 30:40 28
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 23 6 8 9 33:32 26
11 Kumla 24 6 7 11 23:42 25
12 Tord 23 3 9 11 26:42 18
13 Karlstad II 23 2 7 14 23:44 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)