Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahlen vs Erkenschwick Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 game between Ahlen and Erkenschwick finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahlen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ahlen
20%
Draws
46%
Erkenschwick
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erkenschwick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erkenschwick come out ahead of Ahlen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ahlen's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ahlen Clean Sheet 20%
Erkenschwick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlen Erkenschwick
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.22
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Erkenschwick
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs Ahlen
1:1
Mar 28, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Erkenschwick
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs Ahlen
2:2
Feb 22, 2015 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Erkenschwick
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlen 36 / 100
Erkenschwick 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlen Erkenschwick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlen scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Erkenschwick conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ahlen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahlen VS Erkenschwick
1.8 Goals Scored 0.63
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.63
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlen

(Home)
31 May
Ahlen
3 : 4
Eintracht Rheine
25 May
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 0
Ahlen
17 May
Verl II
1 : 4
Ahlen
10 May
Hiltrup
1 : 0
Ahlen
06 May
Westfalia Rhynern
1 : 2
Ahlen
Page 1 of 6

Erkenschwick

(Away)
27 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 1
Erkenschwick
20 Sept
Erkenschwick
3 : 2
Clarholz
13 Sept
Preussen Munster 2
1 : 1
Erkenschwick
06 Sept
Erkenschwick
2 : 1
Westfalia Kinderhaus
30 Aug
Erkenschwick
1 : 1
Maaslingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westfalia Rhynern 36 25 7 4 96:38 82
2 SG Wattenscheid 36 23 11 2 78:28 80
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 36 22 9 5 81:41 75
4 Lippstadt 36 20 10 6 63:29 70
5 Preussen Munster 2 36 21 5 10 80:49 68
6 Gievenbeck 36 14 8 14 61:56 50
7 Arminia Bielefeld II 36 13 10 13 57:57 49
8 Clarholz 36 12 10 14 54:63 46
9 Eintracht Rheine 36 11 11 14 53:63 44
10 Verl II 36 11 9 16 51:64 42
11 Schermbeck 2020 36 10 10 16 53:60 40
12 Sprockhovel 36 11 7 18 59:69 40
13 Erkenschwick 36 10 10 16 48:67 40
14 Vreden 36 11 6 19 52:68 39
15 TUS Ennepetal 36 11 5 20 44:75 38
16 Hiltrup 36 9 10 17 42:57 37
17 Ahlen 36 9 7 20 42:77 34
18 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 36 8 9 19 51:87 33
19 Turkspor Dortmund 36 12 4 20 60:77 31
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)