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Ahlen vs Hammer SpVgg. Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Daniel D.
37' Event
Gencoglu T.
63' Event
Tuma D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between Ahlen and Hammer SpVgg. finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahlen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ahlen
15%
Draws
42%
Hammer SpVgg.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ahlen come out ahead of Hammer SpVgg. on wins alone.
  • Ahlen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ahlen Clean Sheet 16%
Hammer SpVgg. Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlen Hammer SpVgg.
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.44 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Ahlen vs Hammer SpVgg.
2:0
Sep 27, 2022 Club Friendly
Ahlen vs Hammer SpVgg.
6:2
Aug 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Ahlen vs Hammer SpVgg.
1:1
Apr 19, 2020 Oberliga Westfalen
Hammer SpVgg. vs Ahlen
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Hammer SpVgg.
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlen Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuma D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gencoglu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Hammer SpVgg. Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nemec P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlen 84 / 100
Hammer SpVgg. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlen Hammer SpVgg.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammer SpVgg. has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Ahlen scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Hammer SpVgg. lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahlen VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlen

(Home)
31 May
Ahlen
3 : 4
Eintracht Rheine
25 May
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 0
Ahlen
17 May
Verl II
1 : 4
Ahlen
10 May
Hiltrup
1 : 0
Ahlen
06 May
Westfalia Rhynern
1 : 2
Ahlen
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Hammer SpVgg.

(Away)
25 Jan
Ahlen
2 : 0
Hammer SpVgg.
27 Sept
Ahlen
6 : 2
Hammer SpVgg.
29 May
Westfalia Herne
1 : 2
Hammer SpVgg.
22 May
Hammer SpVgg.
1 : 3
Clarholz
13 May
Hammer SpVgg.
2 : 1
Sprockhovel
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