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Ahrensfelde vs BFC Preussen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Magalhaes P.
42' Event
Magalhaes P.
54' Event
Magalhaes P.

AI Match Summary

BFC Preussen in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFC Preussen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ahrensfelde
30%
Draws
58%
BFC Preussen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BFC Preussen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BFC Preussen lately — more wins on the board than Ahrensfelde.
  • Win probability leans BFC Preussen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ahrensfelde Clean Sheet 16%
BFC Preussen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahrensfelde BFC Preussen
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.58 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Ahrensfelde vs BFC Preussen
0:5
Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
BFC Preussen vs Ahrensfelde
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahrensfelde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

BFC Preussen Compare

Top Goalscorer Magalhaes P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Maric O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrensfelde 10 / 100
BFC Preussen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahrensfelde BFC Preussen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Preussen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahrensfelde scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

BFC Preussen let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Ahrensfelde has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS BFC Preussen
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahrensfelde

(Home)
26 Jul
Lichtenberg
3 : 1
Ahrensfelde
16 Jul
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Ahrensfelde
13 Jul
Ahrensfelde
0 : 5
Union Berlin
31 May
Ahrensfelde
2 : 2
Rathenow
24 May
Dynamo Schwerin
4 : 0
Ahrensfelde
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BFC Preussen

(Away)
12 Sept
BFC Preussen
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
25 Aug
BFC Dynamo
2 : 0
BFC Preussen
15 Aug
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
Greifswalder FC
09 Aug
Aue
2 : 1
BFC Preussen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BFC Preussen 30 20 7 3 77:22 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 20 6 4 88:28 66
3 Mahlsdorf 30 20 6 4 82:32 66
4 Hansa Rostock II 30 19 3 8 96:46 60
5 TUS Makkabi 30 13 9 8 60:41 48
6 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 14 6 10 76:66 48
7 TSG Neustrelitz 30 13 6 11 56:48 45
8 Berliner AK 07 30 12 8 10 50:37 44
9 TB Berlin 30 13 3 14 74:71 42
10 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 12 4 14 51:51 40
11 Dynamo Schwerin 30 11 3 16 51:68 36
12 Wismar 30 10 5 15 55:68 35
13 Rathenow 30 7 9 14 46:57 30
14 SC Staaken 30 9 2 19 48:73 29
15 Ahrensfelde 30 5 7 18 46:75 22
16 Rostocker FC 30 0 0 30 10:183 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)