Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025

SV Tasmania Berlin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ahrensfelde play SV Tasmania Berlin in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025. SV Tasmania Berlin are favorites here. Recently, Ahrensfelde averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. SV Tasmania Berlin averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Ahrensfelde won 1, SV Tasmania Berlin won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Ahrensfelde and 1.61 for SV Tasmania Berlin. This points to a SV Tasmania Berlin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Ahrensfelde

15%

Draws

61%

SV Tasmania Berlin

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SV Tasmania Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Ahrensfelde picked up more points recently compared to SV Tasmania Berlin.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.61 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 72%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Ahrensfelde Clean Sheet 14%

SV Tasmania Berlin Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ahrensfelde	SV Tasmania Berlin
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	5	20
Draws	6	1
Losses	19	8
Goals Scored	1.47	2.55
Goals Conceded	2.6	1.21

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

Ahrensfelde vs SV Tasmania Berlin

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Nov 1, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

SV Tasmania Berlin vs Ahrensfelde

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahrensfelde Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurklys L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Graupner N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

SV Tasmania Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaiser D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrensfelde 24 / 100

SV Tasmania Berlin 58 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ahrensfelde SV Tasmania Berlin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Tasmania Berlin Win (2)

Secondary Pick SV Tasmania Berlin & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.4%

1.52

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ahrensfelde attacking → ← attacking SV Tasmania Berlin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahrensfelde scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

SV Tasmania Berlin let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ahrensfelde went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

SV Tasmania Berlin lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 61

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	BFC Preussen	30	20	7	3	77:22	67
2	Lichtenberg	30	20	6	4	88:28	66
3	Mahlsdorf	30	20	6	4	82:32	66
4	Hansa Rostock II	30	19	3	8	96:46	60
5	TUS Makkabi	30	13	9	8	60:41	48
6	Sparta Lichtenberg	30	14	6	10	76:66	48
7	TSG Neustrelitz	30	13	6	11	56:48	45
8	Berliner AK 07	30	12	8	10	50:37	44
9	TB Berlin	30	13	3	14	74:71	42
10	SV Tasmania Berlin	30	12	4	14	51:51	40
11	Dynamo Schwerin	30	11	3	16	51:68	36
12	Wismar	30	10	5	15	55:68	35
13	Rathenow	30	7	9	14	46:57	30
14	SC Staaken	30	9	2	19	48:73	29
15	Ahrensfelde	30	5	7	18	46:75	22
16	Rostocker FC	30	0	0	30	10:183	0