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Ahrweiler vs Auersmacher - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ahrweiler host Auersmacher in the Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ahrweiler have averaged 0.83 scored and 2.52 conceded recently, against Auersmacher's 1.58 scored and 2.23 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.69, favoring Auersmacher. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ahrweiler
15%
Draws
36%
Auersmacher
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahrweiler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auersmacher come out ahead of Ahrweiler on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Ahrweiler taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ahrweiler Clean Sheet 13%
Auersmacher Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahrweiler Auersmacher
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 7 2
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.52 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrweiler 57 / 100
Auersmacher 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahrweiler Auersmacher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahrweiler Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auersmacher let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Auersmacher's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ahrweiler found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Ahrweiler has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ahrweiler VS Auersmacher
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahrweiler

(Home)
18 Oct
Ahrweiler
0 : 3
Elversberg II
09 Oct
Mechtersheim
2 : 0
Ahrweiler
04 Oct
Ahrweiler
1 : 1
Pirmasens
26 Sept
Worms
2 : 1
Ahrweiler
18 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
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Auersmacher

(Away)
17 Oct
Auersmacher
0 : 3
Pirmasens
10 Oct
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
4 : 0
Auersmacher
03 Oct
Auersmacher
1 : 3
Cosmos Koblenz
25 Sept
Engers
3 : 2
Auersmacher
19 Sept
Auersmacher
5 : 4
Emmelshausen-Karbach
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mechtersheim 13 9 1 3 32:20 28
2 Schott Mainz 13 7 5 1 29:14 26
3 Gonsenheim 13 8 1 4 31:15 25
4 Pirmasens 13 7 3 3 39:20 24
5 Engers 13 6 4 3 32:23 22
6 Worms 13 6 3 4 38:25 21
7 RW Wittlich 12 6 3 3 30:22 21
8 TuS Koblenz 13 6 3 4 23:20 21
9 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 13 5 5 3 25:18 20
10 TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim 12 6 2 4 23:18 20
11 Emmelshausen-Karbach 13 5 4 4 21:25 19
12 Elversberg II 13 4 4 5 19:26 16
13 Hertha Wiesbach 13 4 3 6 21:29 15
14 Auersmacher 13 5 0 8 21:31 15
15 Cosmos Koblenz 13 4 1 8 22:27 13
16 Diefflen 13 2 3 8 19:39 9
17 Ahrweiler 13 1 4 8 10:24 7
18 Eisbachtal 13 0 1 12 6:45 1
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)