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Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar game between Ahrweiler and Elversberg II finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elversberg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ahrweiler
20%
Draws
51%
Elversberg II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elversberg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elversberg II come out ahead of Ahrweiler on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Elversberg II have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ahrweiler Clean Sheet 16%
Elversberg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahrweiler Elversberg II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 3 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.52 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II
0:3
May 20, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II
3:1
Apr 8, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrweiler 36 / 100
Elversberg II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahrweiler Elversberg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elversberg II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elversberg II has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ahrweiler scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Ahrweiler went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahrweiler VS Elversberg II
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahrweiler

(Home)
18 Oct
Ahrweiler
0 : 3
Elversberg II
09 Oct
Mechtersheim
2 : 0
Ahrweiler
04 Oct
Ahrweiler
1 : 1
Pirmasens
26 Sept
Worms
2 : 1
Ahrweiler
18 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
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Elversberg II

(Away)
18 Oct
Ahrweiler
0 : 3
Elversberg II
10 Oct
Pirmasens
6 : 1
Elversberg II
03 Oct
Elversberg II
2 : 2
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
26 Sept
Cosmos Koblenz
2 : 1
Elversberg II
23 Sept
Elversberg II
2 : 1
Schott Mainz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mechtersheim 13 9 1 3 32:20 28
2 Schott Mainz 13 7 5 1 29:14 26
3 Gonsenheim 13 8 1 4 31:15 25
4 Pirmasens 13 7 3 3 39:20 24
5 Engers 13 6 4 3 32:23 22
6 Worms 13 6 3 4 38:25 21
7 RW Wittlich 12 6 3 3 30:22 21
8 TuS Koblenz 13 6 3 4 23:20 21
9 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 13 5 5 3 25:18 20
10 TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim 12 6 2 4 23:18 20
11 Emmelshausen-Karbach 13 5 4 4 21:25 19
12 Elversberg II 13 4 4 5 19:26 16
13 Hertha Wiesbach 13 4 3 6 21:29 15
14 Auersmacher 13 5 0 8 21:31 15
15 Cosmos Koblenz 13 4 1 8 22:27 13
16 Diefflen 13 2 3 8 19:39 9
17 Ahrweiler 13 1 4 8 10:24 7
18 Eisbachtal 13 0 1 12 6:45 1
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)