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Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aigle Noir host Bumamuru in the Primus League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Aigle Noir at 1.43 goals for, 1.03 against; Bumamuru at 1.3 for, 1.27 against. Past meetings favor Aigle Noir slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Aigle Noir. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aigle Noir
20%
Draws
44%
Bumamuru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bumamuru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bumamuru haven't matched Aigle Noir's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aigle Noir taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 18%
Bumamuru Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigle Noir Bumamuru
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Primus League
Bumamuru vs Aigle Noir
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru
0:0
Dec 4, 2024 Primus League
Bumamuru vs Aigle Noir
1:1
Jan 24, 2024 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigle Noir 41 / 100
Bumamuru 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigle Noir Bumamuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aigle Noir's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bumamuru has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Aigle Noir has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aigle Noir VS Bumamuru
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigle Noir

(Home)
17 Oct
Aigle Noir
1 : 1
Royal Vision
10 Oct
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
03 Oct
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Ngozi City
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 6

Bumamuru

(Away)
18 Oct
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Bumamuru
15 Oct
Bumamuru
3 : 1
Vital'O
09 Oct
Young Star
0 : 3
Bumamuru
04 Oct
Bumamuru
0 : 1
Flambeau du Centre
20 Sept
Olympic Star
3 : 1
Bumamuru
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 8 6 2 0 23:4 20
2 Muzinga 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
3 Le Messager Ngozi 6 4 1 1 6:4 13
4 Aigle Noir 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Olympic Star 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
6 Ngozi City 7 4 0 3 9:10 12
7 Rukinzo 5 3 2 0 12:2 11
8 Bumamuru 8 3 1 4 10:9 10
9 Musongati 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
10 Vital'O 7 2 3 2 8:13 9
11 Flambeau du Centre 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
12 Inter Star 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Never Give Up Academy 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
14 Kayanza United 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
15 Young Star 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
16 Panthere Noir 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)