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Aigle Noir vs Garage Express Prediction & H2H Stats

Burundi Burundi

Primus League 2025/2026
Aigle Noir Logo

Aigle Noir

1 - 0
FT
Garage Express Logo

Garage Express

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primus League 2025/2026 game between Aigle Noir and Garage Express finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aigle Noir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Aigle Noir
15%
Draws
36%
Garage Express
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aigle Noir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Garage Express haven't matched Aigle Noir's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aigle Noir a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primus League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 20%
Garage Express Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigle Noir Garage Express
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.4 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Garage Express
1:0
Aug 15, 2025 Primus League
Garage Express vs Aigle Noir
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigle Noir 85 / 100
Garage Express 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigle Noir Garage Express

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aigle Noir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aigle Noir scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Garage Express conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Garage Express lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aigle Noir VS Garage Express
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigle Noir

(Home)
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 6

Garage Express

(Away)
09 May
Aigle Noir
1 : 0
Garage Express
25 Apr
Dynamik
3 : 0
Garage Express
11 Apr
Garage Express
1 : 3
Muzinga
21 Mar
Flambeau du Centre
3 : 1
Garage Express
16 Mar
Garage Express
1 : 0
Bumamuru
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 62:25 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 42:21 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 42:23 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 47:31 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 49:28 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 45:27 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 47:33 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 37:38 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 36:35 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 40:45 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 31:33 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 37:43 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 37:42 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 35:58 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 15:61 18
16 Green Farmers 30 1 4 25 25:84 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)