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Aigle Noir vs Inter Star

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aigle Noir host Inter Star in the Primus League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Aigle Noir at 1.56 goals for, 0.91 against; Inter Star at 1.41 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Aigle Noir have won 5 to Inter Star's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.32 xG vs 0.66) point toward Aigle Noir. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aigle Noir
20%
Draws
10%
Inter Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aigle Noir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aigle Noir have won more games recently than Inter Star.
  • Aigle Noir are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aigle Noir have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigle Noir Inter Star
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 18 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Inter Star
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 Primus League
Inter Star vs Aigle Noir
1:2
May 7, 2025 Primus League
Inter Star vs Aigle Noir
0:1
Aug 23, 2024 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Inter Star
1:0
Mar 1, 2024 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Inter Star
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigle Noir 42 / 100
Inter Star 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigle Noir Inter Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aigle Noir found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Inter Star let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aigle Noir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aigle Noir VS Inter Star
1.5 Goals Scored 0.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigle Noir

(Home)
12 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
16 Aug
Aigle Noir
3 : 1
Olympic Star
Page 1 of 7

Inter Star

(Away)
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
21 Aug
Inter Star
1 : 2
Never Give Up Academy
16 Aug
Vital'O
1 : 1
Inter Star
09 May
Le Messager Ngozi
3 : 0
Inter Star
27 Apr
Inter Star
1 : 2
Olympic Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Royal Vision 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Le Messager Ngozi 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4 Ngozi City 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
5 Muzinga 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 Vital'O 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Rukinzo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Bumamuru 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
9 Never Give Up Academy 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Kayanza United 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
11 Flambeau du Centre 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
12 Olympic Star 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
13 Inter Star 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
14 Panthere Noir 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Musongati 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Young Star 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)