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Aigle Noir vs Rukinzo

Burundi Burundi

Super Coupe
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
2 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
61' Event
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aigle Noir
30%
Draws
39%
Rukinzo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rukinzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aigle Noir lately — more wins on the board than Rukinzo.
  • Model gives Aigle Noir a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Aigle Noir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aigle Noir, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 20%
Rukinzo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigle Noir Rukinzo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.58 1.62
Goals Conceded 1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Super Coupe
Aigle Noir vs Rukinzo
2:1
May 15, 2026 Coupe du President
Aigle Noir vs Rukinzo
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Primus League
Rukinzo vs Aigle Noir
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Rukinzo
2:1
May 3, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Rukinzo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigle Noir 36 / 100
Rukinzo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigle Noir Rukinzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aigle Noir scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Rukinzo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Aigle Noir remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aigle Noir VS Rukinzo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigle Noir

(Home)
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 7

Rukinzo

(Away)
13 Sept
Rukinzo
1 : 2
Durban City
06 Sept
Durban City
1 : 0
Rukinzo
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
19 Aug
Musongati
0 : 0
Rukinzo
14 Aug
Rukinzo
2 : 1
Panthere Noir
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Aigle Noir 2
Rukinzo 1