Sport Picks

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Aigle Noir vs Young Star

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aigle Noir in this Primus League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aigle Noir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Aigle Noir
22%
Draws
19%
Young Star
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Aigle Noir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Aigle Noir have won more games recently than Young Star.
  • Win probability leans Aigle Noir's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 20%
Young Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigle Noir Young Star
Matches Played 34 4
Wins 19 0
Draws 9 1
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.59 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Young Star
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigle Noir 76 / 100
Young Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigle Noir Young Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aigle Noir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aigle Noir scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Young Star has conceded goals in 75% of their last 4 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Young Star's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aigle Noir VS Young Star
1 Goals Scored 0.4
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.8
50% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigle Noir

(Home)
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 7

Young Star

(Away)
19 Sept
Young Star
1 : 5
Royal Vision
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
19 Aug
Young Star
0 : 0
Kayanza United
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 4 3 1 0 9:3 10
2 Vital'O 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
3 Aigle Noir 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Le Messager Ngozi 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
5 Ngozi City 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
6 Muzinga 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
7 Rukinzo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Bumamuru 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
9 Never Give Up Academy 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Kayanza United 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
11 Flambeau du Centre 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
12 Olympic Star 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
13 Inter Star 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
14 Panthere Noir 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Musongati 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Young Star 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)