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Aiglon Lamentin vs Excelsior

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aiglon Lamentin in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aiglon Lamentin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aiglon Lamentin
15%
Draws
21%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aiglon Lamentin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aiglon Lamentin lately — more wins on the board than Excelsior.
  • Win probability leans Aiglon Lamentin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aiglon Lamentin have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aiglon Lamentin Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aiglon Lamentin Excelsior
Matches Played 46 31
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.15 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2017 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Aiglon Lamentin vs Excelsior
8:0
Oct 22, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Excelsior vs Aiglon Lamentin
0:2
Apr 2, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Aiglon Lamentin vs Excelsior
3:2
Oct 31, 2015 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Excelsior vs Aiglon Lamentin
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aiglon Lamentin 83 / 100
Excelsior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aiglon Lamentin Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aiglon Lamentin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Excelsior conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Aiglon Lamentin's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 46 recent games.

Aiglon Lamentin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aiglon Lamentin VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
3.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aiglon Lamentin

(Home)
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Aiglon Lamentin
2 : 0
Robert
16 May
Golden Lion
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
09 May
Aiglon Lamentin
5 : 2
Emulation
25 Apr
Franciscain
3 : 0
Aiglon Lamentin
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Excelsior

(Away)
13 May
Excelsior
2 : 2
JS Eucalyptus
06 May
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 2
Excelsior
29 Apr
Excelsior
0 : 2
Golden Lion
23 Apr
Excelsior
1 : 3
Golden Star
08 Apr
Club Colonial
6 : 0
Excelsior
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