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AIK vs FK Liepaja

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Patijcuks D.
39' Event
Filling K.
44' Event
Patijcuks D.

AI Match Summary

FK Liepaja in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Liepaja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AIK
35%
Draws
32%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FK Liepaja haven't matched AIK's recent run of results.
  • AIK are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FK Liepaja have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AIK Clean Sheet 15%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK FK Liepaja
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Club Friendly
AIK vs FK Liepaja
1:3
Aug 30, 2007 Europa League
AIK vs FK Liepaja
2:0
Aug 16, 2007 Europa League
FK Liepaja vs AIK
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Filling K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Liepaja Compare

Top Goalscorer Patijcuks D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Isajevs V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 35 / 100
FK Liepaja 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK FK Liepaja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Liepaja conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

AIK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: AIK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS FK Liepaja
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
20 Aug
Pitea
0 : 3
AIK
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FK Liepaja

(Away)
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
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