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AIK vs IFK Goteborg Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AIK host IFK Goteborg in the Allsvenskan. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: AIK at 1.66 goals for, 1.55 against; IFK Goteborg at 1.45 for, 1.71 against. Past meetings favor AIK slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.88) point toward AIK. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
AIK
20%
Draws
56%
IFK Goteborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IFK Goteborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AIK come out ahead of IFK Goteborg on wins alone.
  • IFK Goteborg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AIK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Goteborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK IFK Goteborg
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs AIK
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs AIK
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs IFK Goteborg
3:0
Oct 21, 2024 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs AIK
1:2
May 27, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs IFK Goteborg
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 10 / 100
IFK Goteborg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK IFK Goteborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Goteborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IFK Goteborg conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

AIK scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: AIK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS IFK Goteborg
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1
AIK
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
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IFK Goteborg

(Away)
03 Oct
Arka Gdynia
3 : 2
IFK Goteborg
19 Sept
Brommapojkarna
0 : 1
IFK Goteborg
12 Sept
IFK Goteborg
2 : 1
Halmstad
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
02 Sept
Olympic
0 : 5
IFK Goteborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)