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AIK vs Mjallby

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna
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Match Events

19' Event
Bergstrom J.
Assist: Samuelsen A.
33'
Youssef A.
34'
Ali A.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between AIK and Mjallby finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
AIK
35%
Draws
13%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • AIK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AIK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AIK Clean Sheet 20%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK Mjallby
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Mjallby
1:1
Jul 11, 2026 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs AIK
1:2
Jul 20, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs AIK
2:0
May 11, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Mjallby
2:1
Aug 11, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Mjallby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouame A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergstrom J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 85 / 100
Mjallby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AIK scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Mjallby conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AIK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Mjallby
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
20 Aug
Pitea
0 : 3
AIK
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Mjallby

(Away)
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
31 Aug
Djurgarden
4 : 0
Mjallby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)