Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AIK vs Vasteras SK

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Hove J.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Bergquist L. In: Edh E.
Out: Bergquist L.
60' Event
Magnusson J.
Assist: Bonde P.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between AIK and Vasteras SK finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasteras SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AIK
20%
Draws
40%
Vasteras SK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AIK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AIK Clean Sheet 20%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK Vasteras SK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Vasteras SK
1:4
Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
AIK vs Vasteras SK
3:2
May 17, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs AIK
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Vasteras SK
0:2
Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
AIK vs Vasteras SK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AIK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vasteras SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diagne M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 32 / 100
Vasteras SK 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK Vasteras SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasteras SK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

AIK found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vasteras SK conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

AIK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Vasteras SK
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
20 Aug
Pitea
0 : 3
AIK
16 Aug
Djurgarden
1 : 3
AIK
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Vasteras SK

(Away)
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
19 Aug
Enkopings SK
1 : 2
Vasteras SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 21 15 3 3 50:27 48
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 46:19 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 48:20 40
4 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 29:21 34
5 Malmo FF 21 10 3 8 37:31 33
6 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
7 AIK 20 9 5 6 29:31 32
8 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 32:35 32
9 IFK Goteborg 21 8 5 8 30:41 29
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 25:20 27
11 Brommapojkarna 21 7 6 8 30:35 27
12 Mjallby 20 5 6 9 26:34 21
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 21:31 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 19:33 19
15 Orgryte 21 3 6 12 24:47 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 14:39 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)