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Stadium Background

AIK vs Vasteras SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Hove J.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Bergquist L. In: Edh E.
Out: Bergquist L.
60' Event
Magnusson J.
Assist: Bonde P.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between AIK and Vasteras SK finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasteras SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AIK
20%
Draws
51%
Vasteras SK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasteras SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasteras SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vasteras SK a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AIK Clean Sheet 11%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK Vasteras SK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Vasteras SK
1:4
Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
AIK vs Vasteras SK
3:2
May 17, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs AIK
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Vasteras SK
0:2
Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
AIK vs Vasteras SK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AIK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vasteras SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diagne M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 27 / 100
Vasteras SK 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK Vasteras SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasteras SK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

AIK found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vasteras SK conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

AIK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Vasteras SK
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
02 Nov
GAIS
2 : 1
AIK
27 Oct
AIK
2 : 2
Elfsborg
24 Oct
Sirius
1 : 2
AIK
17 Oct
AIK
2 : 2
IFK Goteborg
10 Oct
AIK
5 : 6
Brommapojkarna
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Vasteras SK

(Away)
01 Nov
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Brommapojkarna
28 Oct
Degerfors
0 : 3
Vasteras SK
23 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 2
Halmstad
18 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Mjallby
09 Oct
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)