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AIK W vs Vaxjo DFF W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Skytteholms IP, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Famili D.
Assist: Tabata H.
31'
Berbatovci E.
37' Event
Oscarsson A.
Assist: Reidy E.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan Women game between AIK W and Vaxjo DFF W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AIK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
AIK W
15%
Draws
21%
Vaxjo DFF W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AIK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • AIK W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AIK W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AIK W Clean Sheet 20%
Vaxjo DFF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK W Vaxjo DFF W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.54 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
AIK W vs Vaxjo DFF W
3:0
May 9, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs AIK W
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
AIK W vs Vaxjo DFF W
1:2
May 24, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs AIK W
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs AIK W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AIK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Famili D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oscarsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vaxjo DFF W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK W 85 / 100
Vaxjo DFF W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK W Vaxjo DFF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIK W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AIK W scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Vaxjo DFF W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: AIK W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AIK W VS Vaxjo DFF W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK W

(Home)
04 Oct
Djurgarden W
2 : 1
AIK W
26 Sept
AIK W
3 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
22 Sept
KIF Orebro W
0 : 2
AIK W
19 Sept
AIK W
2 : 1
Hammarby W
13 Sept
Pitea W
0 : 1
AIK W
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Vaxjo DFF W

(Away)
03 Oct
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 2
Kristianstad W
26 Sept
AIK W
3 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
22 Sept
Husqvarna W
1 : 3
Vaxjo DFF W
19 Sept
Vittsjo W
2 : 2
Vaxjo DFF W
13 Sept
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 3
Hammarby W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hacken W 21 19 1 1 70:13 58
2 Hammarby W 21 17 2 2 51:10 53
3 Malmo FF W 21 11 6 4 40:14 39
4 AIK W 21 10 4 7 30:29 34
5 Kristianstad W 21 9 5 7 35:32 32
6 Vittsjo W 21 9 5 7 29:26 32
7 IF Brommapojkarna W 21 9 2 10 28:36 29
8 Eskilstuna United W 21 8 3 10 18:27 27
9 Pitea W 21 6 6 9 24:30 24
10 Djurgarden W 21 7 3 11 27:34 24
11 Rosengard W 21 5 5 11 21:26 20
12 Vaxjo DFF W 21 5 3 13 23:42 18
13 Norrkoping W 21 3 8 10 18:36 17
14 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 21 1 3 17 14:73 6
Relegation - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Elitettan Women 2027 (Main)