Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aimore vs Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Roberto J.
22' Event
Mauri
77'

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Pelotas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aimore
35%
Draws
22%
Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aimore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Pelotas's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what Aimore have produced (0.96).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Pelotas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Aimore Clean Sheet 68%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aimore Pelotas
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs Aimore
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Copa FGF
Pelotas vs Aimore
0:2
Nov 20, 2025 Copa FGF
Aimore vs Pelotas
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Copa FGF
Aimore vs Pelotas
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 Gaucho 2
Aimore vs Pelotas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aimore Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauri
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberto J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douglas Zielke
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aimore 41 / 100
Pelotas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aimore Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aimore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aimore found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Pelotas let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Aimore went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aimore VS Pelotas
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aimore

(Home)
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
09 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Aimore
06 Sept
Apafut
3 : 2
Aimore
01 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0
Gramadense
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Pelotas

(Away)
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
09 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Aimore
05 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
Pelotas
02 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
0 : 0
Pelotas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SC Gaucho -
TBD -
Brasil de Pelotas 4
EC Juventude 2 2
Pelotas -
TBD -
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 0
Aimore 2
Semi-finals
SC Gaucho 1
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Pelotas 2
Aimore 3
Final
Brasil de Pelotas 3
Aimore 1