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Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier The Airfield, Broughton
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Airbus UK Broughton FC host Caernarfon in the Cymru Premier. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Airbus UK Broughton FC at 2.69 goals for, 1 against; Caernarfon at 2.07 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Caernarfon slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 31, 2023, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.81 - 2.56) back Airbus UK Broughton FC to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Airbus UK Broughton FC
20%
Draws
38%
Caernarfon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Airbus UK Broughton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Airbus UK Broughton FC lately — more wins on the board than Caernarfon.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Caernarfon here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Airbus UK Broughton FC Clean Sheet 10%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airbus UK Broughton FC Caernarfon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 15
Draws 0 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.69 2.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2023 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
4:0
Feb 17, 2023 Cymru Premier
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Caernarfon
0:2
Jan 10, 2023 Cymru Premier
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Caernarfon
0:3
Sep 2, 2022 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
3:1
Dec 13, 2019 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airbus UK Broughton FC 34 / 100
Caernarfon 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airbus UK Broughton FC Caernarfon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caernarfon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airbus UK Broughton FC's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Caernarfon let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Airbus UK Broughton FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Airbus UK Broughton FC VS Caernarfon
2.25 Goals Scored 3.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Airbus UK Broughton FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Llandudno FC
1 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0
Trefelin
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

Caernarfon

(Away)
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2
Caernarfon
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1
Caernarfon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)