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Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Gresford

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026 The Airfield
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AI Match Summary

Airbus UK Broughton FC play Gresford in the Cymru North 2025/2026. Airbus UK Broughton FC are favorites here. Recently, Airbus UK Broughton FC averaged 3.13 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Gresford averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.65 conceded. In past meetings, Airbus UK Broughton FC won 5, Gresford won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 23, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Airbus UK Broughton FC and 1.06 for Gresford. This points to a Airbus UK Broughton FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Airbus UK Broughton FC
15%
Draws
23%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airbus UK Broughton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Airbus UK Broughton FC picked up more points recently compared to Gresford.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Airbus UK Broughton FC Clean Sheet 22%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airbus UK Broughton FC Gresford
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 23 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 3.13 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Cymru North
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Gresford
2:1
Sep 26, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
2:5
Nov 22, 2024 Cymru North
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Gresford
2:0
Aug 26, 2024 Cymru North
Gresford vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
0:3
Aug 3, 2024 League Cup
Gresford vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airbus UK Broughton FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Peers G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Collins D. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Gresford Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airbus UK Broughton FC 60 / 100
Gresford 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airbus UK Broughton FC Gresford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airbus UK Broughton FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Airbus UK Broughton FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Airbus UK Broughton FC attacking → ← attacking Gresford

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airbus UK Broughton FC scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Gresford let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Airbus UK Broughton FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gresford lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 36
3.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423