Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Airdrieonians vs Ayr

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
King L.
Assist: Bannigan S.
48'
Hislop J.
49'
Sub
Hislop J. In: McKenzie M.
Out: Hislop J.

AI Match Summary

Airdrieonians in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Airdrieonians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Airdrieonians
30%
Draws
47%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayr lately — more wins on the board than Airdrieonians.
  • Win probability leans Ayr's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 12%
Ayr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Ayr
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Ayr vs Airdrieonians
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Ayr
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Airdrieonians
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Ayr
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Airdrieonians
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahon R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McArthur C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer King L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 11 / 100
Ayr 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Airdrieonians scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Ayr has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Airdrieonians has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Ayr
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3
Airdrieonians
08 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 1
East Kilbride
01 Aug
Cove Rangers
0 : 0
Airdrieonians
25 Jul
Airdrieonians
0 : 3
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Ayr

(Away)
14 Aug
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Ayr
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0
Arbroath
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Johnstone 36 22 11 3 67:25 77
2 Partick 36 17 15 4 53:36 66
3 Arbroath 36 13 13 10 43:41 52
4 Dunfermline 36 14 9 13 52:41 51
5 Raith 36 12 9 15 43:42 45
6 Queen's Park 36 9 14 13 35:48 41
7 Ayr 36 8 15 13 38:47 39
8 Morton 36 8 14 14 36:52 38
9 Airdrieonians 36 8 12 16 35:49 36
10 Ross County 36 8 10 18 36:57 34
Promotion - Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One (Main)