Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santamarina vs Fundacion Amigos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin, Tandil
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Meza F.
38'
Ferrari T.
57'
Sub
Romero T. In: San Martin B.
Out: Romero T.

AI Match Summary

Santamarina in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santamarina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Santamarina
20%
Draws
63%
Fundacion Amigos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fundacion Amigos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Santamarina haven't matched Fundacion Amigos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fundacion Amigos a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 21%
Fundacion Amigos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santamarina Fundacion Amigos
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.7 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Fundacion Amigos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santamarina Compare

Top Goalscorer Devesa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader San Martin B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Fundacion Amigos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santamarina 12 / 100
Fundacion Amigos 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santamarina Fundacion Amigos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fundacion Amigos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Santamarina scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Fundacion Amigos has conceded goals in 40% of their last 25 outings.

Santamarina has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santamarina VS Fundacion Amigos
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santamarina

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0
Santamarina
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3
Costa Brava
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0
Santamarina
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0
Santamarina
Page 1 of 6

Fundacion Amigos

(Away)
20 Sept
Guillermo Brown
0 : 0
Fundacion Amigos
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
06 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 1
Germinal
29 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
0 : 2
Fundacion Amigos
23 Aug
Fundacion Amigos
2 : 0
Sol de Mayo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Unidos 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
2 Gimnasia E.R. 8 4 2 2 9:2 14
3 El Linqueno 8 3 4 1 8:4 13
4 Sportivo Las Parejas 8 3 3 2 8:3 12
5 Defensores de Vilelas 8 3 3 2 14:11 12
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 8 3 3 2 8:5 12
7 Atletico Escobar 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
8 Sarmiento Resistencia 8 2 0 6 5:16 6
9 Tucuman Central 8 0 2 6 8:21 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Brava 9 4 4 1 11:7 16
2 San Martin Mendoza 9 4 4 1 9:6 16
3 Deportivo Rincon 9 4 3 2 11:5 15
4 Fundacion Amigos 9 4 3 2 7:4 15
5 Juventud U.U. 9 4 2 3 7:6 14
6 Germinal 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
7 Guillermo Brown 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
8 Circulo Deportivo 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
9 Sol de Mayo 9 2 0 7 6:14 6
10 Santamarina 9 2 0 7 6:16 6
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)