Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Airdrieonians vs Elgin City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
MacIver J.
22' Event
Mahon R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Airdrieonians
39%
Draws
30%
Elgin City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Elgin City have won more games recently than Airdrieonians.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 15%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Elgin City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Airdrieonians vs Elgin City
1:1
Oct 12, 2019 Challenge Cup
Airdrieonians vs Elgin City
0:2
Sep 7, 2002 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Elgin City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahon R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Elgin City Compare

Top Goalscorer MacIver J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 31 / 100
Elgin City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Elgin City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airdrieonians found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Elgin City has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Elgin City registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Elgin City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%